Recent meteorological forecasts indicate overnight lows in London near 13–14°C for August 7, driven by a post-heatwave cooling pattern with clearer skies and lighter winds allowing radiative cooling after daytime highs of 22–25°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 14°C and 13°C, reflecting model consensus on typical early-August minima around the 13°C climatological baseline. Short-term variability from Atlantic fronts or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated Met Office and ECMWF runs expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution. Historical analogs show similar conditions often produce lows clustered in this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 7?
14°C 45%
13°C 25%
15°C 17%
16°C 11%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
25%
14°C
45%
15°C
17%
16°C
11%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 45%
13°C 25%
15°C 17%
16°C 11%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
25%
14°C
45%
15°C
17%
16°C
11%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts indicate overnight lows in London near 13–14°C for August 7, driven by a post-heatwave cooling pattern with clearer skies and lighter winds allowing radiative cooling after daytime highs of 22–25°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 14°C and 13°C, reflecting model consensus on typical early-August minima around the 13°C climatological baseline. Short-term variability from Atlantic fronts or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated Met Office and ECMWF runs expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution. Historical analogs show similar conditions often produce lows clustered in this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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