**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 5 centers on a narrow 28–29°C band, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus around 29°C amid cooling after an early-August heat surge.** Official guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates a high near 85°F (29.4°C) under sunny skies with moderate southwest winds around 10 mph and minimal precipitation, following hotter 35°C+ readings on August 3–4. Key differentiating factors include the strength of high-pressure ridging, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, plus minor model spread in peak timing and cloud cover. With outcomes tightly clustered, small revisions in afternoon observations or model runs could shift probabilities between the leading 28°C and 29°C contracts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
28°C 39%
29°C 33%
27°C 18%
30°C 10%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
39%
29°C
33%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 33%
27°C 18%
30°C 10%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
39%
29°C
33%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 5 centers on a narrow 28–29°C band, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus around 29°C amid cooling after an early-August heat surge.** Official guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates a high near 85°F (29.4°C) under sunny skies with moderate southwest winds around 10 mph and minimal precipitation, following hotter 35°C+ readings on August 3–4. Key differentiating factors include the strength of high-pressure ridging, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, plus minor model spread in peak timing and cloud cover. With outcomes tightly clustered, small revisions in afternoon observations or model runs could shift probabilities between the leading 28°C and 29°C contracts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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