Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) heat warnings and record temperatures exceeding 40°C in parts of the country on August 2, are anchoring trader consensus around a 34–35°C high for Seoul/Incheon on August 5. Ensemble forecasts and short-range guidance indicate persistent high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal cooling while supporting daytime maxima several degrees above the 31°C August climatological average. Minor model spread in steering patterns and potential for isolated afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the closely matched 34°C and 35°C brackets. Updated KMA three-hourly and medium-range outlooks through the weekend represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
34°C 34%
35°C 29%
33°C 21%
36°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
21%
34°C
34%
35°C
29%
36°C
13%
37°C or higher
7%
34°C 34%
35°C 29%
33°C 21%
36°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$6 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
2%
31°C
$24 Wol.
2%
32°C
$85 Wol.
10%
33°C
$14 Wol.
21%
34°C
$99 Wol.
34%
35°C
$51 Wol.
29%
36°C
$15 Wol.
13%
37°C or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) heat warnings and record temperatures exceeding 40°C in parts of the country on August 2, are anchoring trader consensus around a 34–35°C high for Seoul/Incheon on August 5. Ensemble forecasts and short-range guidance indicate persistent high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal cooling while supporting daytime maxima several degrees above the 31°C August climatological average. Minor model spread in steering patterns and potential for isolated afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the closely matched 34°C and 35°C brackets. Updated KMA three-hourly and medium-range outlooks through the weekend represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$313Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) heat warnings and record temperatures exceeding 40°C in parts of the country on August 2, are anchoring trader consensus around a 34–35°C high for Seoul/Incheon on August 5. Ensemble forecasts and short-range guidance indicate persistent high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal cooling while supporting daytime maxima several degrees above the 31°C August climatological average. Minor model spread in steering patterns and potential for isolated afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the closely matched 34°C and 35°C brackets. Updated KMA three-hourly and medium-range outlooks through the weekend represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$313Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) heat warnings and record temperatures exceeding 40°C in parts of the country on August 2, are anchoring trader consensus around a 34–35°C high for Seoul/Incheon on August 5. Ensemble forecasts and short-range guidance indicate persistent high pressure, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal cooling while supporting daytime maxima several degrees above the 31°C August climatological average. Minor model spread in steering patterns and potential for isolated afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the closely matched 34°C and 35°C brackets. Updated KMA three-hourly and medium-range outlooks through the weekend represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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