Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to minimum temperatures near 26–27°C in Tokyo on August 7, supported by ongoing warm, humid conditions under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no strong frontal passage expected. These values align with climatological baselines for early August, where overnight lows typically range 24–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, while latest guidance shows limited cooling potential from scattered showers. The tight market split between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in precise minimum timing and local microclimate effects, with traders weighting official model consensus and recent observations over longer-term seasonal averages. Updated JMA briefings and next model cycles in the coming 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
27°C 51%
25°C 10%
28°C 10%
24°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
47%
27°C
51%
28°C
10%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 51%
25°C 10%
28°C 10%
24°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$53 Wol.
1%
23°C
$58 Wol.
1%
24°C
$7 Wol.
9%
25°C
$7 Wol.
10%
26°C
$12 Wol.
47%
27°C
$7 Wol.
51%
28°C
$7 Wol.
10%
29°C
$7 Wol.
9%
30°C
$58 Wol.
1%
31°C
$53 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$17 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to minimum temperatures near 26–27°C in Tokyo on August 7, supported by ongoing warm, humid conditions under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no strong frontal passage expected. These values align with climatological baselines for early August, where overnight lows typically range 24–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, while latest guidance shows limited cooling potential from scattered showers. The tight market split between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in precise minimum timing and local microclimate effects, with traders weighting official model consensus and recent observations over longer-term seasonal averages. Updated JMA briefings and next model cycles in the coming 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$288Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to minimum temperatures near 26–27°C in Tokyo on August 7, supported by ongoing warm, humid conditions under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no strong frontal passage expected. These values align with climatological baselines for early August, where overnight lows typically range 24–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, while latest guidance shows limited cooling potential from scattered showers. The tight market split between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in precise minimum timing and local microclimate effects, with traders weighting official model consensus and recent observations over longer-term seasonal averages. Updated JMA briefings and next model cycles in the coming 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$288Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to minimum temperatures near 26–27°C in Tokyo on August 7, supported by ongoing warm, humid conditions under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no strong frontal passage expected. These values align with climatological baselines for early August, where overnight lows typically range 24–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, while latest guidance shows limited cooling potential from scattered showers. The tight market split between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in precise minimum timing and local microclimate effects, with traders weighting official model consensus and recent observations over longer-term seasonal averages. Updated JMA briefings and next model cycles in the coming 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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