Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show a tight spread around 22–25°C for London’s August 6 maximum, with the highest probability mass near 23–24°C, reflecting modest model disagreement on the strength of a weak high-pressure ridge and associated boundary-layer mixing. Light southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor daytime warming, yet slight variations in timing of any passing weak front introduce the observed 38.5 % / 29 % split between the two leading outcomes. Historical early-August climatology places the mean daily maximum near 22–23°C, so current guidance sits close to normal while the narrow 48-hour window keeps resolution sensitive to the next model update cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 6?
Highest temperature in London on August 6?
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
22°C 20%
25°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
20%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
10%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
22°C 20%
25°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
$2,352 Wol.
1%
20°C
$843 Wol.
3%
21°C
$958 Wol.
6%
22°C
$478 Wol.
20%
23°C
$494 Wol.
40%
24°C
$239 Wol.
29%
25°C
$402 Wol.
10%
26°C
$147 Wol.
3%
27°C
$399 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$21 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$504 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show a tight spread around 22–25°C for London’s August 6 maximum, with the highest probability mass near 23–24°C, reflecting modest model disagreement on the strength of a weak high-pressure ridge and associated boundary-layer mixing. Light southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor daytime warming, yet slight variations in timing of any passing weak front introduce the observed 38.5 % / 29 % split between the two leading outcomes. Historical early-August climatology places the mean daily maximum near 22–23°C, so current guidance sits close to normal while the narrow 48-hour window keeps resolution sensitive to the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,838Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show a tight spread around 22–25°C for London’s August 6 maximum, with the highest probability mass near 23–24°C, reflecting modest model disagreement on the strength of a weak high-pressure ridge and associated boundary-layer mixing. Light southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor daytime warming, yet slight variations in timing of any passing weak front introduce the observed 38.5 % / 29 % split between the two leading outcomes. Historical early-August climatology places the mean daily maximum near 22–23°C, so current guidance sits close to normal while the narrow 48-hour window keeps resolution sensitive to the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,838Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show a tight spread around 22–25°C for London’s August 6 maximum, with the highest probability mass near 23–24°C, reflecting modest model disagreement on the strength of a weak high-pressure ridge and associated boundary-layer mixing. Light southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor daytime warming, yet slight variations in timing of any passing weak front introduce the observed 38.5 % / 29 % split between the two leading outcomes. Historical early-August climatology places the mean daily maximum near 22–23°C, so current guidance sits close to normal while the narrow 48-hour window keeps resolution sensitive to the next model update cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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