Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum near 15–16 °C in Cape Town on August 6, driven by a cool maritime air mass and morning drizzle that limits daytime warming. South African Weather Service guidance and ECMWF runs show highs suppressed below the seasonal 17–18 °C average, with light winds and partial cloud cover reducing insolation. These conditions have consolidated trader consensus on the 15 °C and 16 °C contracts, while the low probability assigned to 17 °C or higher reflects limited potential for rapid clearing. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine the exact peak and may shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
16°C 41%
15°C 28%
17°C 16%
14°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
28%
16°C
41%
17°C
16%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 41%
15°C 28%
17°C 16%
14°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
11°C or below
$340 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$559 Wol.
1%
13°C
$301 Wol.
3%
14°C
$433 Wol.
7%
15°C
$177 Wol.
28%
16°C
$354 Wol.
41%
17°C
$772 Wol.
16%
18°C
$430 Wol.
3%
19°C
$262 Wol.
1%
20°C
$130 Wol.
1%
21°C or higher
$79 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum near 15–16 °C in Cape Town on August 6, driven by a cool maritime air mass and morning drizzle that limits daytime warming. South African Weather Service guidance and ECMWF runs show highs suppressed below the seasonal 17–18 °C average, with light winds and partial cloud cover reducing insolation. These conditions have consolidated trader consensus on the 15 °C and 16 °C contracts, while the low probability assigned to 17 °C or higher reflects limited potential for rapid clearing. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine the exact peak and may shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,837Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum near 15–16 °C in Cape Town on August 6, driven by a cool maritime air mass and morning drizzle that limits daytime warming. South African Weather Service guidance and ECMWF runs show highs suppressed below the seasonal 17–18 °C average, with light winds and partial cloud cover reducing insolation. These conditions have consolidated trader consensus on the 15 °C and 16 °C contracts, while the low probability assigned to 17 °C or higher reflects limited potential for rapid clearing. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine the exact peak and may shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,837Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum near 15–16 °C in Cape Town on August 6, driven by a cool maritime air mass and morning drizzle that limits daytime warming. South African Weather Service guidance and ECMWF runs show highs suppressed below the seasonal 17–18 °C average, with light winds and partial cloud cover reducing insolation. These conditions have consolidated trader consensus on the 15 °C and 16 °C contracts, while the low probability assigned to 17 °C or higher reflects limited potential for rapid clearing. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine the exact peak and may shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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