Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 6, 2026, center on an overnight low of 27–28°C, directly supporting the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon, limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover or urban heat island effects, and seasonal baselines around 25–28°C drive this consensus, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Official sources like AccuWeather project lows near 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, while any unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow could nudge readings lower. Traders appear to weigh these stable patterns heavily against historical August minima, with resolution hinging on official station measurements at resolution time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
28°C 57%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
26°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
18%
28°C
57%
29°C
24%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 57%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
26°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
18%
28°C
57%
29°C
24%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 6, 2026, center on an overnight low of 27–28°C, directly supporting the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon, limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover or urban heat island effects, and seasonal baselines around 25–28°C drive this consensus, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Official sources like AccuWeather project lows near 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, while any unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow could nudge readings lower. Traders appear to weigh these stable patterns heavily against historical August minima, with resolution hinging on official station measurements at resolution time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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