Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute project a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Helsinki on August 6, aligning with early-August climatology where average highs reach 19–21°C under typical maritime influences. Model consensus and recent runs emphasize modest southerly flow with potential cloud cover and light precipitation that should cap peak readings, positioning 23–24°C as plausible but not dominant outcomes in trader views. Historical analogs show limited potential for stronger advection or clear-sky warming this time of year, while the 24°C market lead at 51% reflects aggregated assessment of forecast spread rather than guaranteed exceedance. Updated FMI guidance and ensemble outputs expected through the evening of August 5 will refine the exact threshold before resolution at the Helsinki-Vantaa station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 6?
24°C 51%
23°C 23%
25°C 16%
26°C 6%
$11,134 Wol.
$11,134 Wol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
23%
24°C
51%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 23%
25°C 16%
26°C 6%
$11,134 Wol.
$11,134 Wol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
23%
24°C
51%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute project a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Helsinki on August 6, aligning with early-August climatology where average highs reach 19–21°C under typical maritime influences. Model consensus and recent runs emphasize modest southerly flow with potential cloud cover and light precipitation that should cap peak readings, positioning 23–24°C as plausible but not dominant outcomes in trader views. Historical analogs show limited potential for stronger advection or clear-sky warming this time of year, while the 24°C market lead at 51% reflects aggregated assessment of forecast spread rather than guaranteed exceedance. Updated FMI guidance and ensemble outputs expected through the evening of August 5 will refine the exact threshold before resolution at the Helsinki-Vantaa station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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