Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw under a ridge of high pressure with light winds and mostly clear skies on August 5, favoring strong daytime heating and peak temperatures centered in the mid-30s °C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of any weak frontal passage, and local urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C. Historical climatology places normal early-August maxima near 24–26 °C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly between 36 °C and 38 °C, traders appear to be weighting the consensus of the latest high-resolution runs while discounting lower-probability scenarios of greater cloud cover or earlier cooling. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 5?
36°C 29%
37°C 28%
38°C 21%
35°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C
14%
36°C
29%
37°C
28%
38°C
21%
39°C
11%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
36°C 29%
37°C 28%
38°C 21%
35°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Wol.
2%
33°C
$10 Wol.
4%
34°C
$0 Wol.
5%
35°C
$8 Wol.
14%
36°C
$13 Wol.
29%
37°C
$0 Wol.
28%
38°C
$0 Wol.
21%
39°C
$0 Wol.
11%
40°C
$6 Wol.
3%
41°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw under a ridge of high pressure with light winds and mostly clear skies on August 5, favoring strong daytime heating and peak temperatures centered in the mid-30s °C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of any weak frontal passage, and local urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C. Historical climatology places normal early-August maxima near 24–26 °C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly between 36 °C and 38 °C, traders appear to be weighting the consensus of the latest high-resolution runs while discounting lower-probability scenarios of greater cloud cover or earlier cooling. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$37Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw under a ridge of high pressure with light winds and mostly clear skies on August 5, favoring strong daytime heating and peak temperatures centered in the mid-30s °C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of any weak frontal passage, and local urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C. Historical climatology places normal early-August maxima near 24–26 °C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly between 36 °C and 38 °C, traders appear to be weighting the consensus of the latest high-resolution runs while discounting lower-probability scenarios of greater cloud cover or earlier cooling. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$37Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw under a ridge of high pressure with light winds and mostly clear skies on August 5, favoring strong daytime heating and peak temperatures centered in the mid-30s °C. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of any weak frontal passage, and local urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C. Historical climatology places normal early-August maxima near 24–26 °C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly between 36 °C and 38 °C, traders appear to be weighting the consensus of the latest high-resolution runs while discounting lower-probability scenarios of greater cloud cover or earlier cooling. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania