Recent monsoon activity over northern India, with widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers, is the primary driver keeping trader consensus centered on a 29–31°C maximum for Lucknow on August 6. Official India Meteorological Department observations from early August show daily highs running 3–4°C below normal amid frequent rainfall, which reduces solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Forecast models align on light to moderate rain and high humidity through the period, limiting afternoon temperature recovery. These conditions align with climatological patterns for peak monsoon, where persistent cloud decks typically cap highs near 30°C rather than allowing clearer-sky spikes above 32°C. Updated model guidance and any shifts in rainfall timing remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 6?
30°C 39%
29°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
39%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
5%
30°C 39%
29°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$3,576 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$2,127 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$149 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$230 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$320 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$192 Wol.
2%
28°C
$749 Wol.
12%
29°C
$284 Wol.
27%
30°C
$1,424 Wol.
39%
31°C
$329 Wol.
21%
32°C or higher
$392 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity over northern India, with widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers, is the primary driver keeping trader consensus centered on a 29–31°C maximum for Lucknow on August 6. Official India Meteorological Department observations from early August show daily highs running 3–4°C below normal amid frequent rainfall, which reduces solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Forecast models align on light to moderate rain and high humidity through the period, limiting afternoon temperature recovery. These conditions align with climatological patterns for peak monsoon, where persistent cloud decks typically cap highs near 30°C rather than allowing clearer-sky spikes above 32°C. Updated model guidance and any shifts in rainfall timing remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,773Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity over northern India, with widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers, is the primary driver keeping trader consensus centered on a 29–31°C maximum for Lucknow on August 6. Official India Meteorological Department observations from early August show daily highs running 3–4°C below normal amid frequent rainfall, which reduces solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Forecast models align on light to moderate rain and high humidity through the period, limiting afternoon temperature recovery. These conditions align with climatological patterns for peak monsoon, where persistent cloud decks typically cap highs near 30°C rather than allowing clearer-sky spikes above 32°C. Updated model guidance and any shifts in rainfall timing remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,773Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity over northern India, with widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers, is the primary driver keeping trader consensus centered on a 29–31°C maximum for Lucknow on August 6. Official India Meteorological Department observations from early August show daily highs running 3–4°C below normal amid frequent rainfall, which reduces solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Forecast models align on light to moderate rain and high humidity through the period, limiting afternoon temperature recovery. These conditions align with climatological patterns for peak monsoon, where persistent cloud decks typically cap highs near 30°C rather than allowing clearer-sky spikes above 32°C. Updated model guidance and any shifts in rainfall timing remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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