Latest numerical weather prediction models and short-range forecasts from agencies tracking the eastern Mediterranean indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for Istanbul on August 6 under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting the market-implied probabilities that heavily favor 28°C (52%) and 29°C (26.5%). Typical August climatology for the city features daytime highs of 28–31°C with low precipitation risk, and current guidance shows no incoming cold front or heat dome to shift this range substantially. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where small model spreads in maximum temperature could still move the outcome between the tightly clustered leading contracts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
28°C 52%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
26°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
27%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 52%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
26°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$397 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$469 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$264 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$146 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$222 Wol.
3%
27°C
$414 Wol.
20%
28°C
$1,608 Wol.
52%
29°C
$744 Wol.
27%
30°C
$182 Wol.
3%
31°C
$221 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$154 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models and short-range forecasts from agencies tracking the eastern Mediterranean indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for Istanbul on August 6 under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting the market-implied probabilities that heavily favor 28°C (52%) and 29°C (26.5%). Typical August climatology for the city features daytime highs of 28–31°C with low precipitation risk, and current guidance shows no incoming cold front or heat dome to shift this range substantially. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where small model spreads in maximum temperature could still move the outcome between the tightly clustered leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,821Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models and short-range forecasts from agencies tracking the eastern Mediterranean indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for Istanbul on August 6 under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting the market-implied probabilities that heavily favor 28°C (52%) and 29°C (26.5%). Typical August climatology for the city features daytime highs of 28–31°C with low precipitation risk, and current guidance shows no incoming cold front or heat dome to shift this range substantially. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where small model spreads in maximum temperature could still move the outcome between the tightly clustered leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,821Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models and short-range forecasts from agencies tracking the eastern Mediterranean indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for Istanbul on August 6 under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting the market-implied probabilities that heavily favor 28°C (52%) and 29°C (26.5%). Typical August climatology for the city features daytime highs of 28–31°C with low precipitation risk, and current guidance shows no incoming cold front or heat dome to shift this range substantially. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where small model spreads in maximum temperature could still move the outcome between the tightly clustered leading contracts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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