Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown for Paris on August 6 after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and an afternoon maximum near 26°C following morning lows around 17°C. This official forecast, emphasizing reduced heat advection and stable high pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring 25°C or 26°C as the most probable daily highs. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or measurement site differences at Paris stations. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C further anchor probabilities, while upcoming updated model runs and final observations will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 6?
25°C 48%
26°C 39%
24°C 7%
27°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
48%
26°C
39%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 48%
26°C 39%
24°C 7%
27°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$378 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$982 Wol.
2%
23°C
$411 Wol.
2%
24°C
$745 Wol.
7%
25°C
$1,023 Wol.
48%
26°C
$960 Wol.
39%
27°C
$357 Wol.
7%
28°C
$485 Wol.
2%
29°C
$539 Wol.
1%
30°C
$176 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,272 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown for Paris on August 6 after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and an afternoon maximum near 26°C following morning lows around 17°C. This official forecast, emphasizing reduced heat advection and stable high pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring 25°C or 26°C as the most probable daily highs. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or measurement site differences at Paris stations. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C further anchor probabilities, while upcoming updated model runs and final observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,329Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown for Paris on August 6 after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and an afternoon maximum near 26°C following morning lows around 17°C. This official forecast, emphasizing reduced heat advection and stable high pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring 25°C or 26°C as the most probable daily highs. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or measurement site differences at Paris stations. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C further anchor probabilities, while upcoming updated model runs and final observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,329Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown for Paris on August 6 after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and an afternoon maximum near 26°C following morning lows around 17°C. This official forecast, emphasizing reduced heat advection and stable high pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring 25°C or 26°C as the most probable daily highs. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or measurement site differences at Paris stations. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C further anchor probabilities, while upcoming updated model runs and final observations will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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