Current forecasts from major models position Milan’s August 6 high near 36–37 °C as the most probable outcome amid a persistent subtropical anticyclone advecting hot, dry air from North Africa across the Po Valley. Clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation support peak temperatures in this range, consistent with BBC and timeanddate guidance of approximately 37 °C (98–101 °F) under the ongoing heatwave. While the broader Italian heat dome has produced higher readings elsewhere, Milan-specific guidance shows limited further intensification before a modest cooling trend begins Friday; traders have therefore assigned the bulk of probability to the narrow 36–37 °C band, reflecting model consensus and historical August extremes for the region.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 6?
37°C 54%
36°C 40%
38°C 7%
35°C 3%
$13,067 Wol.
$13,067 Wol.
34°C or below
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
40%
37°C
54%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 54%
36°C 40%
38°C 7%
35°C 3%
$13,067 Wol.
$13,067 Wol.
34°C or below
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
40%
37°C
54%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models position Milan’s August 6 high near 36–37 °C as the most probable outcome amid a persistent subtropical anticyclone advecting hot, dry air from North Africa across the Po Valley. Clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation support peak temperatures in this range, consistent with BBC and timeanddate guidance of approximately 37 °C (98–101 °F) under the ongoing heatwave. While the broader Italian heat dome has produced higher readings elsewhere, Milan-specific guidance shows limited further intensification before a modest cooling trend begins Friday; traders have therefore assigned the bulk of probability to the narrow 36–37 °C band, reflecting model consensus and historical August extremes for the region.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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