Recent Met Office guidance shows London under high pressure with clear skies and light winds through August 9, supporting a daytime peak near 32°C while overnight radiative cooling is limited by the warm air mass, pointing to a minimum of 17–18°C. Ensemble spreads in global models introduce modest uncertainty around exact overnight lows, with some runs allowing slightly greater cooling to 16°C if winds remain calm and skies stay clear. This warm spell follows several days of above-average temperatures across southern England, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 16–18°C and reflecting traders’ assessment of current forecast consensus and typical model bias near the resolution threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 9?
Lowest temperature in London on August 9?
17°C 40%
16°C 31%
18°C 24%
19°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
31%
17°C
40%
18°C
24%
19°C
7%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 31%
18°C 24%
19°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
12°C or below
$55 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$44 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$122 Wol.
3%
16°C
$1,762 Wol.
31%
17°C
$1,785 Wol.
40%
18°C
$366 Wol.
24%
19°C
$134 Wol.
7%
20°C
$394 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$53 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$50 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance shows London under high pressure with clear skies and light winds through August 9, supporting a daytime peak near 32°C while overnight radiative cooling is limited by the warm air mass, pointing to a minimum of 17–18°C. Ensemble spreads in global models introduce modest uncertainty around exact overnight lows, with some runs allowing slightly greater cooling to 16°C if winds remain calm and skies stay clear. This warm spell follows several days of above-average temperatures across southern England, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 16–18°C and reflecting traders’ assessment of current forecast consensus and typical model bias near the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,810Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance shows London under high pressure with clear skies and light winds through August 9, supporting a daytime peak near 32°C while overnight radiative cooling is limited by the warm air mass, pointing to a minimum of 17–18°C. Ensemble spreads in global models introduce modest uncertainty around exact overnight lows, with some runs allowing slightly greater cooling to 16°C if winds remain calm and skies stay clear. This warm spell follows several days of above-average temperatures across southern England, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 16–18°C and reflecting traders’ assessment of current forecast consensus and typical model bias near the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,810Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance shows London under high pressure with clear skies and light winds through August 9, supporting a daytime peak near 32°C while overnight radiative cooling is limited by the warm air mass, pointing to a minimum of 17–18°C. Ensemble spreads in global models introduce modest uncertainty around exact overnight lows, with some runs allowing slightly greater cooling to 16°C if winds remain calm and skies stay clear. This warm spell follows several days of above-average temperatures across southern England, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 16–18°C and reflecting traders’ assessment of current forecast consensus and typical model bias near the resolution threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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