Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 28–30°C on August 10 under persistent subtropical high pressure, which has suppressed typical cooling and maintained elevated readings across urban stations. This setup aligns closely with historical August climatology for the region, where warm, humid nights often produce minima near or above 28°C. Traders have coalesced on a 30°C low at over 95% implied probability because official guidance and recent model runs show limited scope for further overnight drops amid the stable high-pressure regime. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger-than-expected showers or a shift in steering flow that enhances radiative cooling, potentially lowering the recorded minimum to 29°C or below before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
30°C 96%
29°C 5%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
$56,354 Wol.
$56,354 Wol.
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
96%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 96%
29°C 5%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
$56,354 Wol.
$56,354 Wol.
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,900 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$2,057 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$3,010 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$4,587 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5,136 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$7,933 Wol.
5%
30°C
$10,568 Wol.
96%
31°C
$12,322 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$5,086 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$2,606 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,151 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 28–30°C on August 10 under persistent subtropical high pressure, which has suppressed typical cooling and maintained elevated readings across urban stations. This setup aligns closely with historical August climatology for the region, where warm, humid nights often produce minima near or above 28°C. Traders have coalesced on a 30°C low at over 95% implied probability because official guidance and recent model runs show limited scope for further overnight drops amid the stable high-pressure regime. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger-than-expected showers or a shift in steering flow that enhances radiative cooling, potentially lowering the recorded minimum to 29°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$56,354Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 28–30°C on August 10 under persistent subtropical high pressure, which has suppressed typical cooling and maintained elevated readings across urban stations. This setup aligns closely with historical August climatology for the region, where warm, humid nights often produce minima near or above 28°C. Traders have coalesced on a 30°C low at over 95% implied probability because official guidance and recent model runs show limited scope for further overnight drops amid the stable high-pressure regime. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger-than-expected showers or a shift in steering flow that enhances radiative cooling, potentially lowering the recorded minimum to 29°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$56,354Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 28–30°C on August 10 under persistent subtropical high pressure, which has suppressed typical cooling and maintained elevated readings across urban stations. This setup aligns closely with historical August climatology for the region, where warm, humid nights often produce minima near or above 28°C. Traders have coalesced on a 30°C low at over 95% implied probability because official guidance and recent model runs show limited scope for further overnight drops amid the stable high-pressure regime. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger-than-expected showers or a shift in steering flow that enhances radiative cooling, potentially lowering the recorded minimum to 29°C or below before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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