Hong Kong's official meteorological records for August 12 confirm a daily minimum temperature of 30°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds typical of midsummer. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August nighttime lows commonly range 27–30°C absent tropical disturbances or enhanced monsoon flow. The overwhelming market consensus at 30°C reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory rather than forecasts, with minimal dispersion across alternative thresholds. Resolution would shift only under documented data revisions, alternate station criteria, or measurement anomalies, scenarios that remain improbable given standard reporting protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$79,847 Wol.
$79,847 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$79,847 Wol.
$79,847 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Hong Kong's official meteorological records for August 12 confirm a daily minimum temperature of 30°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds typical of midsummer. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August nighttime lows commonly range 27–30°C absent tropical disturbances or enhanced monsoon flow. The overwhelming market consensus at 30°C reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory rather than forecasts, with minimal dispersion across alternative thresholds. Resolution would shift only under documented data revisions, alternate station criteria, or measurement anomalies, scenarios that remain improbable given standard reporting protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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