Current Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C in London on August 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show daytime highs climbing to 31–32°C amid a warming trend, with the exact low sensitive to small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and the urban heat island effect that often keeps city readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. Traders’ tight split between 18°C and 17°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range in short-range ensemble guidance, where even modest increases in humidity or a slight breeze could shift the outcome by a degree. Historical August lows average near 14–16°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports values closer to the upper end of the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 12?
Lowest temperature in London on August 12?
18°C 41%
17°C 39%
16°C 13%
19°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
39%
18°C
41%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 41%
17°C 39%
16°C 13%
19°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
$22 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$32 Wol.
1%
14°C
$63 Wol.
1%
15°C
$11 Wol.
3%
16°C
$73 Wol.
13%
17°C
$1,167 Wol.
39%
18°C
$452 Wol.
41%
19°C
$15 Wol.
8%
20°C
$139 Wol.
2%
21°C
$28 Wol.
1%
22°C or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C in London on August 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show daytime highs climbing to 31–32°C amid a warming trend, with the exact low sensitive to small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and the urban heat island effect that often keeps city readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. Traders’ tight split between 18°C and 17°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range in short-range ensemble guidance, where even modest increases in humidity or a slight breeze could shift the outcome by a degree. Historical August lows average near 14–16°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports values closer to the upper end of the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,012Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C in London on August 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show daytime highs climbing to 31–32°C amid a warming trend, with the exact low sensitive to small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and the urban heat island effect that often keeps city readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. Traders’ tight split between 18°C and 17°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range in short-range ensemble guidance, where even modest increases in humidity or a slight breeze could shift the outcome by a degree. Historical August lows average near 14–16°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports values closer to the upper end of the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,012Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C in London on August 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show daytime highs climbing to 31–32°C amid a warming trend, with the exact low sensitive to small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and the urban heat island effect that often keeps city readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. Traders’ tight split between 18°C and 17°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range in short-range ensemble guidance, where even modest increases in humidity or a slight breeze could shift the outcome by a degree. Historical August lows average near 14–16°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports values closer to the upper end of the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania