Recent model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to a daytime high near 28–29°C in Toronto on August 10 under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% chance of showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Key differentiating factors include forecast uncertainties in cloud thickness and shower timing, which modulate incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling; stronger afternoon convection could cap the maximum at 27°C, while clearer breaks allow greater boundary-layer warming toward 29–30°C. Historical August averages near 26°C provide context, but current steering patterns and modest warm advection support the elevated range, with resolution hinging on the final observed peak before midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on August 10?
28°C 44%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 5%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
19%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 5%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
19%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to a daytime high near 28–29°C in Toronto on August 10 under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% chance of showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Key differentiating factors include forecast uncertainties in cloud thickness and shower timing, which modulate incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling; stronger afternoon convection could cap the maximum at 27°C, while clearer breaks allow greater boundary-layer warming toward 29–30°C. Historical August averages near 26°C provide context, but current steering patterns and modest warm advection support the elevated range, with resolution hinging on the final observed peak before midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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