A strong cold front supported by an upper trough is forecast to bring cooler, wetter, and windier conditions across the Western Cape this weekend, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town's maximum temperature on August 10 with 48.5% implied probability. This system follows typical August climatology where average highs reach 17°C, but recent model guidance and South African Weather Service outlooks indicate suppressed readings near 14–16°C due to increased cloud cover, onshore flow, and potential showers. Trader positioning reflects these dynamics, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes above 17°C that would require atypical ridging or delayed frontal passage. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 10?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 10?
15°C 49%
16°C 27%
14°C 16%
17°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
6%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 49%
16°C 27%
14°C 16%
17°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
10°C or below
$90 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$91 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$74 Wol.
1%
13°C
$114 Wol.
5%
14°C
$146 Wol.
16%
15°C
$189 Wol.
49%
16°C
$178 Wol.
27%
17°C
$151 Wol.
6%
18°C
$126 Wol.
3%
19°C
$62 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,095 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front supported by an upper trough is forecast to bring cooler, wetter, and windier conditions across the Western Cape this weekend, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town's maximum temperature on August 10 with 48.5% implied probability. This system follows typical August climatology where average highs reach 17°C, but recent model guidance and South African Weather Service outlooks indicate suppressed readings near 14–16°C due to increased cloud cover, onshore flow, and potential showers. Trader positioning reflects these dynamics, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes above 17°C that would require atypical ridging or delayed frontal passage. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,255Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front supported by an upper trough is forecast to bring cooler, wetter, and windier conditions across the Western Cape this weekend, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town's maximum temperature on August 10 with 48.5% implied probability. This system follows typical August climatology where average highs reach 17°C, but recent model guidance and South African Weather Service outlooks indicate suppressed readings near 14–16°C due to increased cloud cover, onshore flow, and potential showers. Trader positioning reflects these dynamics, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes above 17°C that would require atypical ridging or delayed frontal passage. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,255Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strong cold front supported by an upper trough is forecast to bring cooler, wetter, and windier conditions across the Western Cape this weekend, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town's maximum temperature on August 10 with 48.5% implied probability. This system follows typical August climatology where average highs reach 17°C, but recent model guidance and South African Weather Service outlooks indicate suppressed readings near 14–16°C due to increased cloud cover, onshore flow, and potential showers. Trader positioning reflects these dynamics, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes above 17°C that would require atypical ridging or delayed frontal passage. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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