**Forecast models from official sources like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a maximum of 34°C for Tel Aviv on August 10, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions with clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes.** This aligns with the seasonal average high near 31–32°C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C (49.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30%). Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with most runs clustering between 32–35°C and only modest upside potential from stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. No significant synoptic features—such as an amplified ridge or Saharan air intrusion—are projected in the short-range window, keeping probabilities for 36°C+ below 6% combined. Updated model runs and any official IMS revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
34°C 50%
35°C 31%
33°C 12%
36°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
12%
34°C
50%
35°C
31%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
35°C 31%
33°C 12%
36°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
$38 Wol.
2%
32°C
$130 Wol.
2%
33°C
$350 Wol.
12%
34°C
$332 Wol.
50%
35°C
$329 Wol.
31%
36°C
$37 Wol.
5%
37°C
$129 Wol.
2%
38°C
$10 Wol.
3%
39°C
$10 Wol.
2%
40°C
$220 Wol.
1%
41°C or higher
$426 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from official sources like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a maximum of 34°C for Tel Aviv on August 10, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions with clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes.**
This aligns with the seasonal average high near 31–32°C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C (49.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30%). Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with most runs clustering between 32–35°C and only modest upside potential from stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. No significant synoptic features—such as an amplified ridge or Saharan air intrusion—are projected in the short-range window, keeping probabilities for 36°C+ below 6% combined. Updated model runs and any official IMS revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,011Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from official sources like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a maximum of 34°C for Tel Aviv on August 10, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions with clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes.**
This aligns with the seasonal average high near 31–32°C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C (49.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30%). Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with most runs clustering between 32–35°C and only modest upside potential from stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. No significant synoptic features—such as an amplified ridge or Saharan air intrusion—are projected in the short-range window, keeping probabilities for 36°C+ below 6% combined. Updated model runs and any official IMS revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,011Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from official sources like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a maximum of 34°C for Tel Aviv on August 10, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions with clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes.** This aligns with the seasonal average high near 31–32°C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C (49.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30%). Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with most runs clustering between 32–35°C and only modest upside potential from stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. No significant synoptic features—such as an amplified ridge or Saharan air intrusion—are projected in the short-range window, keeping probabilities for 36°C+ below 6% combined. Updated model runs and any official IMS revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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