**Trader consensus centers on 24–25°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 10, reflecting typical mid-August climatology and current model guidance under persistent high-pressure influence.** Historical data show average August lows near 22–24°C (72–75°F), with Incheon’s coastal location providing modest maritime moderation compared to inland Seoul stations. Ongoing heatwave conditions, elevated humidity, and limited radiative cooling at night support the narrow spread between leading outcomes; small variations in forecast dew points, cloud cover, or light winds can shift the minimum by 1°C. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range outlooks and ensemble guidance indicate continued tropical-night potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging typical model divergence this far ahead of the 3–9 AM observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
25°C 37%
26°C 26%
27°C 8%
23°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
41%
25°C
37%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 37%
26°C 26%
27°C 8%
23°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
$27 Wol.
1%
20°C
$27 Wol.
1%
21°C
$27 Wol.
1%
22°C
$6 Wol.
2%
23°C
$0 Wol.
7%
24°C
$25 Wol.
41%
25°C
$0 Wol.
37%
26°C
$0 Wol.
26%
27°C
$6 Wol.
8%
28°C
$27 Wol.
3%
29°C or higher
$27 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 24–25°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 10, reflecting typical mid-August climatology and current model guidance under persistent high-pressure influence.** Historical data show average August lows near 22–24°C (72–75°F), with Incheon’s coastal location providing modest maritime moderation compared to inland Seoul stations. Ongoing heatwave conditions, elevated humidity, and limited radiative cooling at night support the narrow spread between leading outcomes; small variations in forecast dew points, cloud cover, or light winds can shift the minimum by 1°C. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range outlooks and ensemble guidance indicate continued tropical-night potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging typical model divergence this far ahead of the 3–9 AM observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$173Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 24–25°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 10, reflecting typical mid-August climatology and current model guidance under persistent high-pressure influence.** Historical data show average August lows near 22–24°C (72–75°F), with Incheon’s coastal location providing modest maritime moderation compared to inland Seoul stations. Ongoing heatwave conditions, elevated humidity, and limited radiative cooling at night support the narrow spread between leading outcomes; small variations in forecast dew points, cloud cover, or light winds can shift the minimum by 1°C. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range outlooks and ensemble guidance indicate continued tropical-night potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging typical model divergence this far ahead of the 3–9 AM observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$173Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 24–25°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 10, reflecting typical mid-August climatology and current model guidance under persistent high-pressure influence.** Historical data show average August lows near 22–24°C (72–75°F), with Incheon’s coastal location providing modest maritime moderation compared to inland Seoul stations. Ongoing heatwave conditions, elevated humidity, and limited radiative cooling at night support the narrow spread between leading outcomes; small variations in forecast dew points, cloud cover, or light winds can shift the minimum by 1°C. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range outlooks and ensemble guidance indicate continued tropical-night potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging typical model divergence this far ahead of the 3–9 AM observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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