Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High and easterly winds descending as dry, warm air—amplified by Typhoon Dolphin—have elevated overnight lows across the Seoul-Incheon region, keeping minimum temperatures near 27–28°C. High humidity restricts radiative cooling at night, while urban heat island effects and limited cloud cover sustain warmth; KMA forecasts and model consensus reflect these dynamics, with slight variations in wind or localized showers potentially tipping the daily low by 1°C. Traders weigh these factors amid typical August climatology of 22–24°C minima, producing closely matched implied probabilities as new short-range updates approach.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
27°C 40%
28°C 38%
26°C 15%
25°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
15%
27°C
40%
28°C
38%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 38%
26°C 15%
25°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
$138 Wol.
1%
22°C
$52 Wol.
2%
23°C
$315 Wol.
2%
24°C
$102 Wol.
1%
25°C
$58 Wol.
7%
26°C
$254 Wol.
15%
27°C
$253 Wol.
40%
28°C
$585 Wol.
38%
29°C
$123 Wol.
5%
30°C
$485 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$383 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High and easterly winds descending as dry, warm air—amplified by Typhoon Dolphin—have elevated overnight lows across the Seoul-Incheon region, keeping minimum temperatures near 27–28°C. High humidity restricts radiative cooling at night, while urban heat island effects and limited cloud cover sustain warmth; KMA forecasts and model consensus reflect these dynamics, with slight variations in wind or localized showers potentially tipping the daily low by 1°C. Traders weigh these factors amid typical August climatology of 22–24°C minima, producing closely matched implied probabilities as new short-range updates approach.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,748Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High and easterly winds descending as dry, warm air—amplified by Typhoon Dolphin—have elevated overnight lows across the Seoul-Incheon region, keeping minimum temperatures near 27–28°C. High humidity restricts radiative cooling at night, while urban heat island effects and limited cloud cover sustain warmth; KMA forecasts and model consensus reflect these dynamics, with slight variations in wind or localized showers potentially tipping the daily low by 1°C. Traders weigh these factors amid typical August climatology of 22–24°C minima, producing closely matched implied probabilities as new short-range updates approach.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,748Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High and easterly winds descending as dry, warm air—amplified by Typhoon Dolphin—have elevated overnight lows across the Seoul-Incheon region, keeping minimum temperatures near 27–28°C. High humidity restricts radiative cooling at night, while urban heat island effects and limited cloud cover sustain warmth; KMA forecasts and model consensus reflect these dynamics, with slight variations in wind or localized showers potentially tipping the daily low by 1°C. Traders weigh these factors amid typical August climatology of 22–24°C minima, producing closely matched implied probabilities as new short-range updates approach.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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