**National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official resolution station, call for a daytime high of 78°F on August 6 with patchy morning fog and mostly sunny conditions afterward.** This aligns closely with the climatological normal maximum of 76°F and recent model guidance showing minimal warming from onshore flow and a persistent marine layer. Trader consensus heavily favors the 78–79°F bin (51.5% implied probability) and 76–77°F (34.5%), reflecting the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around these values. No significant heat-wave signals or offshore wind events have emerged in the past 48 hours to push probabilities higher, while the low odds on 80°F+ outcomes underscore the limited potential for rapid inland heating under current synoptic conditions. Updated NWS briefings and final observations will determine resolution within the narrow forecast window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 6?
78-79°F 53%
76-77°F 36%
80-81°F 7%
74-75°F 5%
$25,853 Wol.
$25,853 Wol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 53%
76-77°F 36%
80-81°F 7%
74-75°F 5%
$25,853 Wol.
$25,853 Wol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official resolution station, call for a daytime high of 78°F on August 6 with patchy morning fog and mostly sunny conditions afterward.** This aligns closely with the climatological normal maximum of 76°F and recent model guidance showing minimal warming from onshore flow and a persistent marine layer. Trader consensus heavily favors the 78–79°F bin (51.5% implied probability) and 76–77°F (34.5%), reflecting the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around these values. No significant heat-wave signals or offshore wind events have emerged in the past 48 hours to push probabilities higher, while the low odds on 80°F+ outcomes underscore the limited potential for rapid inland heating under current synoptic conditions. Updated NWS briefings and final observations will determine resolution within the narrow forecast window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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