Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds as the dominant driver positioning 13–15°C as the most probable minimum in Paris on August 8. Current atmospheric conditions, following earlier heatwave relief, support modest nocturnal temperature drops consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 15–16°C; traders have weighted the 14°C outcome highest because ensemble runs show limited upside from daytime heat retention and minimal advection of warmer air. Forecast uncertainty remains modest given proximity to resolution, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of nudging the minimum by 1°C either way.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
14°C 75%
15°C 30%
12°C 16%
11°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
16%
13°C
31%
14°C
57%
15°C
25%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 75%
15°C 30%
12°C 16%
11°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
$249 Wol.
1%
12°C
$203 Wol.
16%
13°C
$654 Wol.
31%
14°C
$1,220 Wol.
57%
15°C
$1,674 Wol.
25%
16°C
$815 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$619 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$830 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$695 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$77 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$91 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds as the dominant driver positioning 13–15°C as the most probable minimum in Paris on August 8. Current atmospheric conditions, following earlier heatwave relief, support modest nocturnal temperature drops consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 15–16°C; traders have weighted the 14°C outcome highest because ensemble runs show limited upside from daytime heat retention and minimal advection of warmer air. Forecast uncertainty remains modest given proximity to resolution, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of nudging the minimum by 1°C either way.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,129Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds as the dominant driver positioning 13–15°C as the most probable minimum in Paris on August 8. Current atmospheric conditions, following earlier heatwave relief, support modest nocturnal temperature drops consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 15–16°C; traders have weighted the 14°C outcome highest because ensemble runs show limited upside from daytime heat retention and minimal advection of warmer air. Forecast uncertainty remains modest given proximity to resolution, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of nudging the minimum by 1°C either way.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,129Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds as the dominant driver positioning 13–15°C as the most probable minimum in Paris on August 8. Current atmospheric conditions, following earlier heatwave relief, support modest nocturnal temperature drops consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 15–16°C; traders have weighted the 14°C outcome highest because ensemble runs show limited upside from daytime heat retention and minimal advection of warmer air. Forecast uncertainty remains modest given proximity to resolution, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of nudging the minimum by 1°C either way.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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