Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Northeast, reinforced by a National Weather Service heat advisory through August 8, have elevated overnight lows in New York City, driving the market's strong preference for an 80-81°F minimum (49% implied probability). High dew points in the mid-70s and a persistent warm air mass limit radiational cooling, consistent with recent model runs showing lows holding near 78-80°F. Warmer-than-average August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with urban heat island effects, further support elevated minimum temperatures compared to the 70°F climatological average. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns or thunderstorm activity tonight represent the primary near-term variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 7?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 7?
80-81°F 63%
78-79°F 26%
74-75°F 5%
76-77°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
63%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 63%
78-79°F 26%
74-75°F 5%
76-77°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
$130 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$418 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$209 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$145 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$298 Wol.
2%
74-75°F
$207 Wol.
5%
76-77°F
$452 Wol.
3%
78-79°F
$1,458 Wol.
26%
80-81°F
$863 Wol.
63%
82-83°F
$1,224 Wol.
1%
84°F or higher
$242 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Northeast, reinforced by a National Weather Service heat advisory through August 8, have elevated overnight lows in New York City, driving the market's strong preference for an 80-81°F minimum (49% implied probability). High dew points in the mid-70s and a persistent warm air mass limit radiational cooling, consistent with recent model runs showing lows holding near 78-80°F. Warmer-than-average August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with urban heat island effects, further support elevated minimum temperatures compared to the 70°F climatological average. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns or thunderstorm activity tonight represent the primary near-term variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,646Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Northeast, reinforced by a National Weather Service heat advisory through August 8, have elevated overnight lows in New York City, driving the market's strong preference for an 80-81°F minimum (49% implied probability). High dew points in the mid-70s and a persistent warm air mass limit radiational cooling, consistent with recent model runs showing lows holding near 78-80°F. Warmer-than-average August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with urban heat island effects, further support elevated minimum temperatures compared to the 70°F climatological average. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns or thunderstorm activity tonight represent the primary near-term variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,646Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Northeast, reinforced by a National Weather Service heat advisory through August 8, have elevated overnight lows in New York City, driving the market's strong preference for an 80-81°F minimum (49% implied probability). High dew points in the mid-70s and a persistent warm air mass limit radiational cooling, consistent with recent model runs showing lows holding near 78-80°F. Warmer-than-average August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with urban heat island effects, further support elevated minimum temperatures compared to the 70°F climatological average. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns or thunderstorm activity tonight represent the primary near-term variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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