Recent National Weather Service outlooks and ensemble model guidance indicate a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, supported by high pressure and southerly flow, positioning NYC for an August 8 high most likely in the upper 80s to low 90s°F—well above the 83°F climatological average. This setup has driven the market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F (41.5%) and 88-89°F (30.5%), reflecting limited cooling from any overnight showers or modest cloud cover. Updated runs from the past 48 hours show minimal spread across guidance, with only low-probability scenarios for 92°F+ if mixing is stronger than expected. Final NHC and local office briefings tomorrow morning will provide the last model adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 8?
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 31%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 31%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
81°F or below
$219 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$125 Wol.
1%
84-85°F
$97 Wol.
2%
86-87°F
$229 Wol.
5%
88-89°F
$947 Wol.
31%
90-91°F
$583 Wol.
42%
92-93°F
$331 Wol.
19%
94-95°F
$293 Wol.
5%
96-97°F
$69 Wol.
1%
98-99°F
$127 Wol.
1%
100°F or higher
$225 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service outlooks and ensemble model guidance indicate a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, supported by high pressure and southerly flow, positioning NYC for an August 8 high most likely in the upper 80s to low 90s°F—well above the 83°F climatological average. This setup has driven the market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F (41.5%) and 88-89°F (30.5%), reflecting limited cooling from any overnight showers or modest cloud cover. Updated runs from the past 48 hours show minimal spread across guidance, with only low-probability scenarios for 92°F+ if mixing is stronger than expected. Final NHC and local office briefings tomorrow morning will provide the last model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,245Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service outlooks and ensemble model guidance indicate a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, supported by high pressure and southerly flow, positioning NYC for an August 8 high most likely in the upper 80s to low 90s°F—well above the 83°F climatological average. This setup has driven the market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F (41.5%) and 88-89°F (30.5%), reflecting limited cooling from any overnight showers or modest cloud cover. Updated runs from the past 48 hours show minimal spread across guidance, with only low-probability scenarios for 92°F+ if mixing is stronger than expected. Final NHC and local office briefings tomorrow morning will provide the last model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,245Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service outlooks and ensemble model guidance indicate a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, supported by high pressure and southerly flow, positioning NYC for an August 8 high most likely in the upper 80s to low 90s°F—well above the 83°F climatological average. This setup has driven the market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F (41.5%) and 88-89°F (30.5%), reflecting limited cooling from any overnight showers or modest cloud cover. Updated runs from the past 48 hours show minimal spread across guidance, with only low-probability scenarios for 92°F+ if mixing is stronger than expected. Final NHC and local office briefings tomorrow morning will provide the last model adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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