Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on August 9 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25–26°C outcomes. These levels reflect typical early-August climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 24°C amid persistent high pressure and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High further support minima in this range, while any increased cloud cover or light winds could prevent drops to 24°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming days will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
26°C 51%
25°C 41%
27°C 5%
23°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
41%
26°C
51%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 41%
27°C 5%
23°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
$192 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$197 Wol.
1%
23°C
$159 Wol.
2%
24°C
$198 Wol.
2%
25°C
$488 Wol.
41%
26°C
$462 Wol.
51%
27°C
$258 Wol.
5%
28°C
$109 Wol.
2%
29°C
$192 Wol.
1%
30°C
$178 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$178 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on August 9 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25–26°C outcomes. These levels reflect typical early-August climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 24°C amid persistent high pressure and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High further support minima in this range, while any increased cloud cover or light winds could prevent drops to 24°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming days will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,613Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on August 9 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25–26°C outcomes. These levels reflect typical early-August climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 24°C amid persistent high pressure and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High further support minima in this range, while any increased cloud cover or light winds could prevent drops to 24°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming days will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,613Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on August 9 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25–26°C outcomes. These levels reflect typical early-August climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 24°C amid persistent high pressure and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High further support minima in this range, while any increased cloud cover or light winds could prevent drops to 24°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming days will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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