Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy conditions on August 8 with daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer high pressure and the urban heat island effect typically elevate maximum temperatures 1–3°C above regional norms in central Tokyo, while partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% can limit further intensification. Recent days have seen peaks of 33°C, aligning with the 21.5% probability on 32°C and 14% on 34°C as plausible variations from model uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31.8°C provide context, but current seasonal warmth supports the clustered probabilities around 32–34°C ahead of the final observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
33°C 42%
32°C 22%
34°C 14%
35°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
10%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
14%
35°C
13%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 22%
34°C 14%
35°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
$131 Wol.
1%
28°C
$77 Wol.
1%
29°C
$24 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
6%
31°C
$3 Wol.
10%
32°C
$34 Wol.
22%
33°C
$116 Wol.
42%
34°C
$0 Wol.
14%
35°C
$134 Wol.
13%
36°C
$17 Wol.
5%
37°C or higher
$7 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy conditions on August 8 with daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer high pressure and the urban heat island effect typically elevate maximum temperatures 1–3°C above regional norms in central Tokyo, while partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% can limit further intensification. Recent days have seen peaks of 33°C, aligning with the 21.5% probability on 32°C and 14% on 34°C as plausible variations from model uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31.8°C provide context, but current seasonal warmth supports the clustered probabilities around 32–34°C ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$544Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy conditions on August 8 with daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer high pressure and the urban heat island effect typically elevate maximum temperatures 1–3°C above regional norms in central Tokyo, while partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% can limit further intensification. Recent days have seen peaks of 33°C, aligning with the 21.5% probability on 32°C and 14% on 34°C as plausible variations from model uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31.8°C provide context, but current seasonal warmth supports the clustered probabilities around 32–34°C ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$544Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy conditions on August 8 with daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer high pressure and the urban heat island effect typically elevate maximum temperatures 1–3°C above regional norms in central Tokyo, while partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% can limit further intensification. Recent days have seen peaks of 33°C, aligning with the 21.5% probability on 32°C and 14% on 34°C as plausible variations from model uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31.8°C provide context, but current seasonal warmth supports the clustered probabilities around 32–34°C ahead of the final observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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