Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 8?
Highest temperature in London on August 8?
27°C 41%
28°C 28%
26°C 17%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
41%
28°C
28%
29°C
10%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 41%
28°C 28%
26°C 17%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
$10 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Wol.
1%
25°C
$6 Wol.
8%
26°C
$55 Wol.
17%
27°C
$207 Wol.
41%
28°C
$24 Wol.
28%
29°C
$5 Wol.
10%
30°C
$4 Wol.
8%
31°C
$10 Wol.
1%
32°C
$37 Wol.
1%
33°C or higher
$10 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$328Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$328Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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