Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a 32°C maximum for Tokyo on August 6 under cloudy skies with 30–40% precipitation chances, anchoring the leading market-implied probability near that threshold while 33°C trails closely. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects, and variable cloud cover from the Pacific high-pressure system create narrow uncertainty bands between these outcomes, as even modest sunshine increases could push readings one degree higher. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate aligns with 32–33°C highs, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures, though scattered showers may suppress peaks. Updated JMA briefings and afternoon observational data remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
15%
32°C
39%
33°C
32%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
26°C or below
$243 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$196 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$542 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$380 Wol.
2%
30°C
$279 Wol.
3%
31°C
$1,006 Wol.
15%
32°C
$801 Wol.
39%
33°C
$716 Wol.
32%
34°C
$922 Wol.
9%
35°C
$239 Wol.
3%
36°C or higher
$399 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a 32°C maximum for Tokyo on August 6 under cloudy skies with 30–40% precipitation chances, anchoring the leading market-implied probability near that threshold while 33°C trails closely. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects, and variable cloud cover from the Pacific high-pressure system create narrow uncertainty bands between these outcomes, as even modest sunshine increases could push readings one degree higher. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate aligns with 32–33°C highs, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures, though scattered showers may suppress peaks. Updated JMA briefings and afternoon observational data remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,724Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a 32°C maximum for Tokyo on August 6 under cloudy skies with 30–40% precipitation chances, anchoring the leading market-implied probability near that threshold while 33°C trails closely. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects, and variable cloud cover from the Pacific high-pressure system create narrow uncertainty bands between these outcomes, as even modest sunshine increases could push readings one degree higher. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate aligns with 32–33°C highs, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures, though scattered showers may suppress peaks. Updated JMA briefings and afternoon observational data remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,724Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a 32°C maximum for Tokyo on August 6 under cloudy skies with 30–40% precipitation chances, anchoring the leading market-implied probability near that threshold while 33°C trails closely. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects, and variable cloud cover from the Pacific high-pressure system create narrow uncertainty bands between these outcomes, as even modest sunshine increases could push readings one degree higher. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate aligns with 32–33°C highs, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures, though scattered showers may suppress peaks. Updated JMA briefings and afternoon observational data remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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