Trader consensus on the 28°C outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 8 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading under persistent subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention limited nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal climatological baseline of 26–29°C amid normal-to-above-normal August temperatures. Model guidance and real-time observations converged on this range, with no significant frontal systems or rain events to enhance radiative cooling. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's verified station data; only an atypical measurement revision or localized microclimate anomaly could shift the outcome, though such scenarios remain improbable given the consistency of surface observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$100,512 Wol.
$100,512 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$100,512 Wol.
$100,512 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$598 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,214 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$4,298 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$11,517 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$6,155 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$15,134 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$28,456 Wol.
100%
29°C
$26,187 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$5,374 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$938 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$641 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the 28°C outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 8 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading under persistent subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention limited nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal climatological baseline of 26–29°C amid normal-to-above-normal August temperatures. Model guidance and real-time observations converged on this range, with no significant frontal systems or rain events to enhance radiative cooling. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's verified station data; only an atypical measurement revision or localized microclimate anomaly could shift the outcome, though such scenarios remain improbable given the consistency of surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$100,512Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the 28°C outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 8 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading under persistent subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention limited nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal climatological baseline of 26–29°C amid normal-to-above-normal August temperatures. Model guidance and real-time observations converged on this range, with no significant frontal systems or rain events to enhance radiative cooling. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's verified station data; only an atypical measurement revision or localized microclimate anomaly could shift the outcome, though such scenarios remain improbable given the consistency of surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$100,512Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 28°C outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 8 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading under persistent subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention limited nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal climatological baseline of 26–29°C amid normal-to-above-normal August temperatures. Model guidance and real-time observations converged on this range, with no significant frontal systems or rain events to enhance radiative cooling. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's verified station data; only an atypical measurement revision or localized microclimate anomaly could shift the outcome, though such scenarios remain improbable given the consistency of surface observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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