**Market-implied odds favor a minimum of 26°C or 27°C for Hong Kong on September 26, reflecting short-range model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing overnight lows near 26–28°C.** Light northeast monsoon flow is easing, yielding light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and dry conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining elevated dew points around 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance and multi-model outputs indicate limited spread, with temperatures bottoming in the mid- to upper-20s rather than dropping toward 25°C or below, though minor cloud variations or localized effects could nudge the exact reading. Updated HKO briefings and fresh model runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
26°C 38%
22°C or below 37%
24°C 34%
27°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 26, 2026
22°C or below
37%
23°C
28%
24°C
34%
25°C
19%
26°C
38%
27°C
33%
28°C
9%
29°C
28%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 38%
22°C or below 37%
24°C 34%
27°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
37%
23°C
$0 Wol.
28%
24°C
$0 Wol.
34%
25°C
$0 Wol.
19%
26°C
$95 Wol.
38%
27°C
$42 Wol.
33%
28°C
$35 Wol.
9%
29°C
$0 Wol.
28%
30°C
$6 Wol.
1%
31°C
$6 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$6 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds favor a minimum of 26°C or 27°C for Hong Kong on September 26, reflecting short-range model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing overnight lows near 26–28°C.**
Light northeast monsoon flow is easing, yielding light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and dry conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining elevated dew points around 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance and multi-model outputs indicate limited spread, with temperatures bottoming in the mid- to upper-20s rather than dropping toward 25°C or below, though minor cloud variations or localized effects could nudge the exact reading. Updated HKO briefings and fresh model runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$190Data zakończenia
Sep 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds favor a minimum of 26°C or 27°C for Hong Kong on September 26, reflecting short-range model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing overnight lows near 26–28°C.**
Light northeast monsoon flow is easing, yielding light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and dry conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining elevated dew points around 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance and multi-model outputs indicate limited spread, with temperatures bottoming in the mid- to upper-20s rather than dropping toward 25°C or below, though minor cloud variations or localized effects could nudge the exact reading. Updated HKO briefings and fresh model runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$190Data zakończenia
Sep 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...**Market-implied odds favor a minimum of 26°C or 27°C for Hong Kong on September 26, reflecting short-range model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing overnight lows near 26–28°C.** Light northeast monsoon flow is easing, yielding light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and dry conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining elevated dew points around 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance and multi-model outputs indicate limited spread, with temperatures bottoming in the mid- to upper-20s rather than dropping toward 25°C or below, though minor cloud variations or localized effects could nudge the exact reading. Updated HKO briefings and fresh model runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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