Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to 28–33°C on September 26 under weak easterly flow and subsidence associated with distant Tropical Cyclone Surigae, which is steering clear while suppressing cloud development and rainfall. Persistent high pressure and low-level divergence are expected to promote strong daytime insolation and rapid surface heating, especially in urban areas where the heat island effect adds 1–2°C. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-20s, conditions that historically support peak readings near 32–33°C rather than the seasonal 30.5°C average. Any late-day moisture advection or slight increase in wind could cap maxima at 32°C, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
31°C 23%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
23%
32°C
35%
33°C
34%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
31°C 23%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 26, 2026
26°C or below
$6 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
4%
28°C
$0 Wol.
4%
29°C
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
10%
31°C
$10 Wol.
23%
32°C
$52 Wol.
35%
33°C
$87 Wol.
34%
34°C
$105 Wol.
5%
35°C
$26 Wol.
10%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to 28–33°C on September 26 under weak easterly flow and subsidence associated with distant Tropical Cyclone Surigae, which is steering clear while suppressing cloud development and rainfall. Persistent high pressure and low-level divergence are expected to promote strong daytime insolation and rapid surface heating, especially in urban areas where the heat island effect adds 1–2°C. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-20s, conditions that historically support peak readings near 32–33°C rather than the seasonal 30.5°C average. Any late-day moisture advection or slight increase in wind could cap maxima at 32°C, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$286Data zakończenia
Sep 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to 28–33°C on September 26 under weak easterly flow and subsidence associated with distant Tropical Cyclone Surigae, which is steering clear while suppressing cloud development and rainfall. Persistent high pressure and low-level divergence are expected to promote strong daytime insolation and rapid surface heating, especially in urban areas where the heat island effect adds 1–2°C. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-20s, conditions that historically support peak readings near 32–33°C rather than the seasonal 30.5°C average. Any late-day moisture advection or slight increase in wind could cap maxima at 32°C, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$286Data zakończenia
Sep 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to 28–33°C on September 26 under weak easterly flow and subsidence associated with distant Tropical Cyclone Surigae, which is steering clear while suppressing cloud development and rainfall. Persistent high pressure and low-level divergence are expected to promote strong daytime insolation and rapid surface heating, especially in urban areas where the heat island effect adds 1–2°C. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-20s, conditions that historically support peak readings near 32–33°C rather than the seasonal 30.5°C average. Any late-day moisture advection or slight increase in wind could cap maxima at 32°C, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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