**Forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory currently point to a maximum temperature of 33–35 °C on August 8, reflecting weak steering winds, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects typical of late-summer subtropical conditions.** Ensemble guidance shows scattered showers that could limit peak heating, while sea-surface temperatures support daytime warmth near the seasonal average of 31–32 °C. Recent days of fine, hot weather have kept trader focus on the 34–36 °C band, with the market assigning the highest implied probabilities to 35 °C (38 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %). Updated model runs and any convective development in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift odds toward 36 °C or keep readings capped at 33 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
35°C 38%
34°C 27%
36°C 22%
33°C 9%
NOWE
$26,094 Wol.
NOWE
$26,094 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
27%
35°C
38%
36°C
22%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 27%
36°C 22%
33°C 9%
NOWE
$26,094 Wol.
NOWE
$26,094 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$1,168 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,387 Wol.
1%
33°C
$4,105 Wol.
9%
34°C
$2,732 Wol.
27%
35°C
$3,980 Wol.
38%
36°C
$3,082 Wol.
22%
37°C
$3,999 Wol.
8%
38°C
$1,598 Wol.
1%
39°C
$1,339 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$943 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$762 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory currently point to a maximum temperature of 33–35 °C on August 8, reflecting weak steering winds, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects typical of late-summer subtropical conditions.** Ensemble guidance shows scattered showers that could limit peak heating, while sea-surface temperatures support daytime warmth near the seasonal average of 31–32 °C. Recent days of fine, hot weather have kept trader focus on the 34–36 °C band, with the market assigning the highest implied probabilities to 35 °C (38 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %). Updated model runs and any convective development in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift odds toward 36 °C or keep readings capped at 33 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,094Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory currently point to a maximum temperature of 33–35 °C on August 8, reflecting weak steering winds, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects typical of late-summer subtropical conditions.** Ensemble guidance shows scattered showers that could limit peak heating, while sea-surface temperatures support daytime warmth near the seasonal average of 31–32 °C. Recent days of fine, hot weather have kept trader focus on the 34–36 °C band, with the market assigning the highest implied probabilities to 35 °C (38 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %). Updated model runs and any convective development in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift odds toward 36 °C or keep readings capped at 33 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$26,094Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory currently point to a maximum temperature of 33–35 °C on August 8, reflecting weak steering winds, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects typical of late-summer subtropical conditions.** Ensemble guidance shows scattered showers that could limit peak heating, while sea-surface temperatures support daytime warmth near the seasonal average of 31–32 °C. Recent days of fine, hot weather have kept trader focus on the 34–36 °C band, with the market assigning the highest implied probabilities to 35 °C (38 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %). Updated model runs and any convective development in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift odds toward 36 °C or keep readings capped at 33 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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