Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, continues to drive trader positioning toward 34–36°C as the most likely maximum on August 8. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, following peak heatwave conditions of 37–39°C recorded earlier in the week. Minor variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence introduce the small probability mass at 33°C or 37°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today represent the next key data point that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
35°C 39%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 7%
NOWE
$17,547 Wol.
NOWE
$17,547 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
27%
35°C
39%
36°C
19%
37°C
7%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 7%
NOWE
$17,547 Wol.
NOWE
$17,547 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$1,001 Wol.
1%
32°C
$947 Wol.
3%
33°C
$1,970 Wol.
7%
34°C
$2,128 Wol.
27%
35°C
$804 Wol.
39%
36°C
$3,745 Wol.
19%
37°C
$4,104 Wol.
7%
38°C
$1,158 Wol.
2%
39°C
$771 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$535 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$430 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, continues to drive trader positioning toward 34–36°C as the most likely maximum on August 8. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, following peak heatwave conditions of 37–39°C recorded earlier in the week. Minor variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence introduce the small probability mass at 33°C or 37°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today represent the next key data point that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,547Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, continues to drive trader positioning toward 34–36°C as the most likely maximum on August 8. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, following peak heatwave conditions of 37–39°C recorded earlier in the week. Minor variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence introduce the small probability mass at 33°C or 37°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today represent the next key data point that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,547Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure subsidence from the North Pacific High, combined with urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, continues to drive trader positioning toward 34–36°C as the most likely maximum on August 8. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, following peak heatwave conditions of 37–39°C recorded earlier in the week. Minor variability in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence introduce the small probability mass at 33°C or 37°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today represent the next key data point that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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