Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible after midday, limiting solar heating and capping the Chicago Midway high near 79–81 °F—below the early-August normal of 83–84 °F. Light winds and modest boundary-layer moisture further suppress the diurnal range, keeping probabilities clustered in the 78–83 °F bins. Traders are watching the next NWS update and any changes in 850-hPa temperatures or convective timing that could shift the peak by a degree or two before resolution at the official KMDW observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 5?
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
NOWE
$19,695 Wol.
NOWE
$19,695 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
NOWE
$19,695 Wol.
NOWE
$19,695 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
$6,225 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$2,231 Wol.
16%
78-79°F
$1,101 Wol.
26%
80-81°F
$2,221 Wol.
30%
82-83°F
$1,210 Wol.
19%
84-85°F
$3,398 Wol.
7%
86-87°F
$1,342 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$424 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$547 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$514 Wol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$483 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible after midday, limiting solar heating and capping the Chicago Midway high near 79–81 °F—below the early-August normal of 83–84 °F. Light winds and modest boundary-layer moisture further suppress the diurnal range, keeping probabilities clustered in the 78–83 °F bins. Traders are watching the next NWS update and any changes in 850-hPa temperatures or convective timing that could shift the peak by a degree or two before resolution at the official KMDW observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,695Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible after midday, limiting solar heating and capping the Chicago Midway high near 79–81 °F—below the early-August normal of 83–84 °F. Light winds and modest boundary-layer moisture further suppress the diurnal range, keeping probabilities clustered in the 78–83 °F bins. Traders are watching the next NWS update and any changes in 850-hPa temperatures or convective timing that could shift the peak by a degree or two before resolution at the official KMDW observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$19,695Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible after midday, limiting solar heating and capping the Chicago Midway high near 79–81 °F—below the early-August normal of 83–84 °F. Light winds and modest boundary-layer moisture further suppress the diurnal range, keeping probabilities clustered in the 78–83 °F bins. Traders are watching the next NWS update and any changes in 850-hPa temperatures or convective timing that could shift the peak by a degree or two before resolution at the official KMDW observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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