Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs near 27–29 °C for São Paulo on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. An ongoing El Niño episode is elevating regional temperatures 0.4–1 °C above the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, while light winds and broken cloud cover limit daytime mixing and allow greater solar heating. Recent extended-range guidance shows little model spread for this date, supporting the current 36.5 % implied probability on 27 °C as the consensus outcome, though any late adjustment in steering flow or increased moisture could shift the peak by a degree.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
27°C 38%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
38%
28°C
24%
29°C
18%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$201 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$196 Wol.
1%
23°C
$51 Wol.
1%
24°C
$83 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$128 Wol.
3%
26°C
$312 Wol.
18%
27°C
$1,843 Wol.
38%
28°C
$252 Wol.
24%
29°C
$379 Wol.
18%
30°C
$555 Wol.
8%
31°C or higher
$63 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs near 27–29 °C for São Paulo on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. An ongoing El Niño episode is elevating regional temperatures 0.4–1 °C above the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, while light winds and broken cloud cover limit daytime mixing and allow greater solar heating. Recent extended-range guidance shows little model spread for this date, supporting the current 36.5 % implied probability on 27 °C as the consensus outcome, though any late adjustment in steering flow or increased moisture could shift the peak by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,063Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs near 27–29 °C for São Paulo on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. An ongoing El Niño episode is elevating regional temperatures 0.4–1 °C above the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, while light winds and broken cloud cover limit daytime mixing and allow greater solar heating. Recent extended-range guidance shows little model spread for this date, supporting the current 36.5 % implied probability on 27 °C as the consensus outcome, though any late adjustment in steering flow or increased moisture could shift the peak by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,063Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs near 27–29 °C for São Paulo on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. An ongoing El Niño episode is elevating regional temperatures 0.4–1 °C above the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, while light winds and broken cloud cover limit daytime mixing and allow greater solar heating. Recent extended-range guidance shows little model spread for this date, supporting the current 36.5 % implied probability on 27 °C as the consensus outcome, though any late adjustment in steering flow or increased moisture could shift the peak by a degree.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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