Traders see the highest temperature in Chicago on August 6 centering on 76–79°F because National Weather Service model guidance projects a cooler-than-normal day, well below the 83.5°F climatological average. A moderating lake breeze off Lake Michigan, combined with increased cloud cover and possibly a weak frontal passage, limits daytime heating and caps the maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind shifts, boundary-layer mixing, and the timing of any afternoon convection, which can alter the peak by 2–3°F. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 6?
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 32%
80-81°F 23%
82-83°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 32%
80-81°F 23%
82-83°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
73°F or below
$6 Wol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
4%
76-77°F
$2 Wol.
32%
78-79°F
$6 Wol.
35%
80-81°F
$14 Wol.
23%
82-83°F
$6 Wol.
11%
84-85°F
$25 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$30 Wol.
2%
88-89°F
$25 Wol.
2%
90-91°F
$5 Wol.
2%
92°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chicago on August 6 centering on 76–79°F because National Weather Service model guidance projects a cooler-than-normal day, well below the 83.5°F climatological average. A moderating lake breeze off Lake Michigan, combined with increased cloud cover and possibly a weak frontal passage, limits daytime heating and caps the maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind shifts, boundary-layer mixing, and the timing of any afternoon convection, which can alter the peak by 2–3°F. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$119Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chicago on August 6 centering on 76–79°F because National Weather Service model guidance projects a cooler-than-normal day, well below the 83.5°F climatological average. A moderating lake breeze off Lake Michigan, combined with increased cloud cover and possibly a weak frontal passage, limits daytime heating and caps the maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind shifts, boundary-layer mixing, and the timing of any afternoon convection, which can alter the peak by 2–3°F. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$119Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Chicago on August 6 centering on 76–79°F because National Weather Service model guidance projects a cooler-than-normal day, well below the 83.5°F climatological average. A moderating lake breeze off Lake Michigan, combined with increased cloud cover and possibly a weak frontal passage, limits daytime heating and caps the maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind shifts, boundary-layer mixing, and the timing of any afternoon convection, which can alter the peak by 2–3°F. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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