Current forecast models from NOAA and major ensembles indicate persistent warm, humid air over the Northeast with no significant cold front passage, positioning overnight lows in New York City around 73–75°F for August 6 under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 49 percent, reflecting trader assessment of limited overnight temperature drops amid the broader above-average August pattern. Recent model runs show minor variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower, while historical August climatology for Central Park places typical lows near 68–70°F, underscoring the current anomaly. Updated NHC and local NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 6?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 6?
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 16%
80-81°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 16%
80-81°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
65°F or below
$15 Wol.
1%
66-67°F
$68 Wol.
1%
68-69°F
$31 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$14 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$1 Wol.
5%
74-75°F
$1 Wol.
16%
76-77°F
$272 Wol.
49%
78-79°F
$7 Wol.
24%
80-81°F
$11 Wol.
6%
82-83°F
$41 Wol.
2%
84°F or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and major ensembles indicate persistent warm, humid air over the Northeast with no significant cold front passage, positioning overnight lows in New York City around 73–75°F for August 6 under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 49 percent, reflecting trader assessment of limited overnight temperature drops amid the broader above-average August pattern. Recent model runs show minor variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower, while historical August climatology for Central Park places typical lows near 68–70°F, underscoring the current anomaly. Updated NHC and local NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$461Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and major ensembles indicate persistent warm, humid air over the Northeast with no significant cold front passage, positioning overnight lows in New York City around 73–75°F for August 6 under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 49 percent, reflecting trader assessment of limited overnight temperature drops amid the broader above-average August pattern. Recent model runs show minor variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower, while historical August climatology for Central Park places typical lows near 68–70°F, underscoring the current anomaly. Updated NHC and local NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$461Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and major ensembles indicate persistent warm, humid air over the Northeast with no significant cold front passage, positioning overnight lows in New York City around 73–75°F for August 6 under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 49 percent, reflecting trader assessment of limited overnight temperature drops amid the broader above-average August pattern. Recent model runs show minor variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower, while historical August climatology for Central Park places typical lows near 68–70°F, underscoring the current anomaly. Updated NHC and local NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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