Current forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate Austin highs on August 6 will likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent high pressure, subsidence warming, and southerly flow bringing warm, moist air from the Gulf. The tight market spread between 98–99°F and 100–101°F reflects minor model divergences in cloud cover, mixing depth, and exact wind speeds, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical August baselines near 98°F provide context, while recent drier conditions have supported slightly above-average maxima. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 6?
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 34%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 8%
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 34%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 8%
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate Austin highs on August 6 will likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent high pressure, subsidence warming, and southerly flow bringing warm, moist air from the Gulf. The tight market spread between 98–99°F and 100–101°F reflects minor model divergences in cloud cover, mixing depth, and exact wind speeds, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. Historical August baselines near 98°F provide context, while recent drier conditions have supported slightly above-average maxima. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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