Official NWS forecasts for Austin point to a high near 99–101°F on August 5 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 53% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and a warmer-than-normal early-August pattern across south-central Texas, reinforced by seasonal Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring above-average temperatures, support this range while limiting upside to 100°F or higher. Typical August climatology for the area peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s, and absent any frontal passages or increased cloud cover in the latest model guidance, traders have concentrated odds on the narrow 98–101°F window ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 5?
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 23%
96-97°F 13%
102-103°F 2.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 23%
96-97°F 13%
102-103°F 2.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
89°F or below
$684 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$716 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$605 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$344 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,455 Wol.
13%
98-99°F
$3,273 Wol.
53%
100-101°F
$768 Wol.
23%
102-103°F
$728 Wol.
3%
104-105°F
$642 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$415 Wol.
1%
108°F or higher
$287 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for Austin point to a high near 99–101°F on August 5 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 53% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and a warmer-than-normal early-August pattern across south-central Texas, reinforced by seasonal Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring above-average temperatures, support this range while limiting upside to 100°F or higher. Typical August climatology for the area peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s, and absent any frontal passages or increased cloud cover in the latest model guidance, traders have concentrated odds on the narrow 98–101°F window ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,916Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for Austin point to a high near 99–101°F on August 5 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 53% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and a warmer-than-normal early-August pattern across south-central Texas, reinforced by seasonal Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring above-average temperatures, support this range while limiting upside to 100°F or higher. Typical August climatology for the area peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s, and absent any frontal passages or increased cloud cover in the latest model guidance, traders have concentrated odds on the narrow 98–101°F window ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,916Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts for Austin point to a high near 99–101°F on August 5 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 53% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and a warmer-than-normal early-August pattern across south-central Texas, reinforced by seasonal Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring above-average temperatures, support this range while limiting upside to 100°F or higher. Typical August climatology for the area peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s, and absent any frontal passages or increased cloud cover in the latest model guidance, traders have concentrated odds on the narrow 98–101°F window ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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