Recent record heat across Colorado, including Denver highs of 102°F on August 3, has elevated baseline warmth, yet National Weather Service model consensus and long-range outlooks now point to moderation for August 6 with a few thunderstorms and a cooler air mass arriving. These conditions, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns and increasing monsoon moisture, position afternoon maxima most likely in the mid- to upper-90s°F at official stations such as Denver International Airport. Trader consensus reflected in the 96-97°F bucket (56.5% implied probability) aligns with this forecast guidance, while lower odds on 98-99°F or 100°F+ outcomes account for residual uncertainty in exact storm timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 6?
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 20%
98-99°F 18%
92-93°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
56%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 20%
98-99°F 18%
92-93°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
87°F or below
$103 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$112 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$332 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$284 Wol.
5%
94-95°F
$293 Wol.
20%
96-97°F
$1,065 Wol.
56%
98-99°F
$978 Wol.
18%
100-101°F
$274 Wol.
3%
102-103°F
$293 Wol.
<1%
104-105°F
$127 Wol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$97 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent record heat across Colorado, including Denver highs of 102°F on August 3, has elevated baseline warmth, yet National Weather Service model consensus and long-range outlooks now point to moderation for August 6 with a few thunderstorms and a cooler air mass arriving. These conditions, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns and increasing monsoon moisture, position afternoon maxima most likely in the mid- to upper-90s°F at official stations such as Denver International Airport. Trader consensus reflected in the 96-97°F bucket (56.5% implied probability) aligns with this forecast guidance, while lower odds on 98-99°F or 100°F+ outcomes account for residual uncertainty in exact storm timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,959Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent record heat across Colorado, including Denver highs of 102°F on August 3, has elevated baseline warmth, yet National Weather Service model consensus and long-range outlooks now point to moderation for August 6 with a few thunderstorms and a cooler air mass arriving. These conditions, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns and increasing monsoon moisture, position afternoon maxima most likely in the mid- to upper-90s°F at official stations such as Denver International Airport. Trader consensus reflected in the 96-97°F bucket (56.5% implied probability) aligns with this forecast guidance, while lower odds on 98-99°F or 100°F+ outcomes account for residual uncertainty in exact storm timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,959Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent record heat across Colorado, including Denver highs of 102°F on August 3, has elevated baseline warmth, yet National Weather Service model consensus and long-range outlooks now point to moderation for August 6 with a few thunderstorms and a cooler air mass arriving. These conditions, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns and increasing monsoon moisture, position afternoon maxima most likely in the mid- to upper-90s°F at official stations such as Denver International Airport. Trader consensus reflected in the 96-97°F bucket (56.5% implied probability) aligns with this forecast guidance, while lower odds on 98-99°F or 100°F+ outcomes account for residual uncertainty in exact storm timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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