Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw near 30–31°C on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, predominantly southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that enhances solar heating. Ongoing regional heat and drought conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convective development create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes. Historical August maxima near 24–26°C provide climatological context, while the narrow spread between 29°C and 32°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance that will narrow with the next ECMWF and GFS runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 10?
30°C 36%
31°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
15%
30°C
36%
31°C
27%
32°C
16%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
31°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
$13 Wol.
1%
27°C
$9 Wol.
1%
28°C
$107 Wol.
6%
29°C
$125 Wol.
15%
30°C
$92 Wol.
36%
31°C
$29 Wol.
27%
32°C
$101 Wol.
16%
33°C
$51 Wol.
2%
34°C
$28 Wol.
2%
35°C
$61 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$115 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw near 30–31°C on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, predominantly southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that enhances solar heating. Ongoing regional heat and drought conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convective development create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes. Historical August maxima near 24–26°C provide climatological context, while the narrow spread between 29°C and 32°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance that will narrow with the next ECMWF and GFS runs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$731Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw near 30–31°C on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, predominantly southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that enhances solar heating. Ongoing regional heat and drought conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convective development create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes. Historical August maxima near 24–26°C provide climatological context, while the narrow spread between 29°C and 32°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance that will narrow with the next ECMWF and GFS runs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$731Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw near 30–31°C on August 10, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, predominantly southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that enhances solar heating. Ongoing regional heat and drought conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon convective development create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes. Historical August maxima near 24–26°C provide climatological context, while the narrow spread between 29°C and 32°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance that will narrow with the next ECMWF and GFS runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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