Recent forecasts indicate a lingering European heat wave will sustain elevated overnight temperatures in Paris through August 10, pushing the expected minimum into the 17–19°C range favored by traders. Warm advection from southern air masses, combined with reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and higher humidity, limits the typical seasonal drop to around 15°C. Météo-France and ensemble models show only modest cooling overnight amid daytime highs near or above 30°C, while historical August baselines provide context for the upward shift in probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
18°C 37%
19°C 33%
17°C 16%
20°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
37%
19°C
33%
20°C
14%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 33%
17°C 16%
20°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
5%
17°C
$40 Wol.
16%
18°C
$39 Wol.
37%
19°C
$37 Wol.
33%
20°C
$0 Wol.
14%
21°C
$34 Wol.
4%
22°C
$44 Wol.
3%
23°C
$44 Wol.
1%
24°C
$32 Wol.
1%
25°C
$27 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$34 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a lingering European heat wave will sustain elevated overnight temperatures in Paris through August 10, pushing the expected minimum into the 17–19°C range favored by traders. Warm advection from southern air masses, combined with reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and higher humidity, limits the typical seasonal drop to around 15°C. Météo-France and ensemble models show only modest cooling overnight amid daytime highs near or above 30°C, while historical August baselines provide context for the upward shift in probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$331Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a lingering European heat wave will sustain elevated overnight temperatures in Paris through August 10, pushing the expected minimum into the 17–19°C range favored by traders. Warm advection from southern air masses, combined with reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and higher humidity, limits the typical seasonal drop to around 15°C. Météo-France and ensemble models show only modest cooling overnight amid daytime highs near or above 30°C, while historical August baselines provide context for the upward shift in probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$331Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a lingering European heat wave will sustain elevated overnight temperatures in Paris through August 10, pushing the expected minimum into the 17–19°C range favored by traders. Warm advection from southern air masses, combined with reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and higher humidity, limits the typical seasonal drop to around 15°C. Météo-France and ensemble models show only modest cooling overnight amid daytime highs near or above 30°C, while historical August baselines provide context for the upward shift in probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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