Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs currently favor a minimum temperature of 19–20°C in London on August 13 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight mixing. A very warm airmass advected from the south supports radiative cooling to these levels after daytime highs near 35–36°C, though minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings toward 18°C or hold them at 21°C. Historical August averages near 14–16°C highlight the anomalous warmth, with traders weighting the tight 18–20°C cluster given limited model spread and proximity to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 13?
19°C 43%
20°C 38%
18°C 16%
17°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
43%
20°C
38%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 38%
18°C 16%
17°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
43%
20°C
38%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs currently favor a minimum temperature of 19–20°C in London on August 13 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight mixing. A very warm airmass advected from the south supports radiative cooling to these levels after daytime highs near 35–36°C, though minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings toward 18°C or hold them at 21°C. Historical August averages near 14–16°C highlight the anomalous warmth, with traders weighting the tight 18–20°C cluster given limited model spread and proximity to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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