Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Yr.no indicate Moscow highs around 16–20°C on August 14, consistent with the closely matched market odds centered on 16–18°C. A cooling trend has developed after earlier August peaks near 25°C, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. Model differences in frontal timing, exact cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities for 19°C+ reflecting limited potential for strong solar heating or warmer advection under current synoptic patterns. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
17°C 33%
16°C 29%
18°C 21%
15°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
6%
14°C
10%
15°C
12%
16°C
29%
17°C
33%
18°C
21%
19°C
13%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
17°C 33%
16°C 29%
18°C 21%
15°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$17 Wol.
6%
14°C
$9 Wol.
10%
15°C
$0 Wol.
12%
16°C
$0 Wol.
29%
17°C
$0 Wol.
33%
18°C
$170 Wol.
21%
19°C
$54 Wol.
13%
20°C
$28 Wol.
4%
21°C
$5 Wol.
6%
22°C
$12 Wol.
2%
23°C or higher
$12 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Yr.no indicate Moscow highs around 16–20°C on August 14, consistent with the closely matched market odds centered on 16–18°C. A cooling trend has developed after earlier August peaks near 25°C, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. Model differences in frontal timing, exact cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities for 19°C+ reflecting limited potential for strong solar heating or warmer advection under current synoptic patterns. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$306Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Yr.no indicate Moscow highs around 16–20°C on August 14, consistent with the closely matched market odds centered on 16–18°C. A cooling trend has developed after earlier August peaks near 25°C, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. Model differences in frontal timing, exact cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities for 19°C+ reflecting limited potential for strong solar heating or warmer advection under current synoptic patterns. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$306Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Yr.no indicate Moscow highs around 16–20°C on August 14, consistent with the closely matched market odds centered on 16–18°C. A cooling trend has developed after earlier August peaks near 25°C, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. Model differences in frontal timing, exact cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities for 19°C+ reflecting limited potential for strong solar heating or warmer advection under current synoptic patterns. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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