Recent forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 27–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, driven by a shift to stronger northerly winds and reduced solar heating compared to the 31–32°C peaks expected on August 12–13. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 28°C amid the region's Mediterranean summer regime of high pressure and low precipitation. Trader consensus at 26°C (54% implied probability) reflects model agreement on modest cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity, while lower outcomes capture tail risks from faster advection or measurement timing. Updated runs over the next 48 hours from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily maximum verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
26°C 54%
25°C 19%
27°C 16%
28°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
54%
27°C
16%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 19%
27°C 16%
28°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$12 Wol.
2%
24°C
$22 Wol.
5%
25°C
$12 Wol.
19%
26°C
$67 Wol.
54%
27°C
$255 Wol.
16%
28°C
$1 Wol.
6%
29°C
$10 Wol.
3%
30°C
$33 Wol.
1%
31°C
$17 Wol.
4%
32°C
$5 Wol.
2%
33°C or higher
$30 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 27–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, driven by a shift to stronger northerly winds and reduced solar heating compared to the 31–32°C peaks expected on August 12–13. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 28°C amid the region's Mediterranean summer regime of high pressure and low precipitation. Trader consensus at 26°C (54% implied probability) reflects model agreement on modest cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity, while lower outcomes capture tail risks from faster advection or measurement timing. Updated runs over the next 48 hours from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$463Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 27–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, driven by a shift to stronger northerly winds and reduced solar heating compared to the 31–32°C peaks expected on August 12–13. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 28°C amid the region's Mediterranean summer regime of high pressure and low precipitation. Trader consensus at 26°C (54% implied probability) reflects model agreement on modest cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity, while lower outcomes capture tail risks from faster advection or measurement timing. Updated runs over the next 48 hours from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$463Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 27–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, driven by a shift to stronger northerly winds and reduced solar heating compared to the 31–32°C peaks expected on August 12–13. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 28°C amid the region's Mediterranean summer regime of high pressure and low precipitation. Trader consensus at 26°C (54% implied probability) reflects model agreement on modest cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity, while lower outcomes capture tail risks from faster advection or measurement timing. Updated runs over the next 48 hours from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily maximum verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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