Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the BBC and national meteorological services points to a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 14, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest diurnal warming as a ridge of high pressure promotes subsidence and clear skies, enhancing solar insolation while limiting cloud cover and convective mixing. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes hinge on forecast nuances in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction influencing warm-air advection from the south, and any late-day boundary-layer decoupling. Historical mid-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic patterns support the elevated trader-implied range without significant model spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 14?
26°C 41%
27°C 35%
28°C 12%
25°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
41%
27°C
35%
28°C
12%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
26°C 41%
27°C 35%
28°C 12%
25°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$1,716 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$551 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$174 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$241 Wol.
2%
24°C
$49 Wol.
6%
25°C
$102 Wol.
8%
26°C
$65 Wol.
41%
27°C
$28 Wol.
35%
28°C
$17 Wol.
12%
29°C
$36 Wol.
6%
30°C or higher
$10 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the BBC and national meteorological services points to a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 14, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest diurnal warming as a ridge of high pressure promotes subsidence and clear skies, enhancing solar insolation while limiting cloud cover and convective mixing. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes hinge on forecast nuances in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction influencing warm-air advection from the south, and any late-day boundary-layer decoupling. Historical mid-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic patterns support the elevated trader-implied range without significant model spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,988Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the BBC and national meteorological services points to a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 14, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest diurnal warming as a ridge of high pressure promotes subsidence and clear skies, enhancing solar insolation while limiting cloud cover and convective mixing. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes hinge on forecast nuances in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction influencing warm-air advection from the south, and any late-day boundary-layer decoupling. Historical mid-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic patterns support the elevated trader-implied range without significant model spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,988Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the BBC and national meteorological services points to a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 14, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest diurnal warming as a ridge of high pressure promotes subsidence and clear skies, enhancing solar insolation while limiting cloud cover and convective mixing. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes hinge on forecast nuances in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction influencing warm-air advection from the south, and any late-day boundary-layer decoupling. Historical mid-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic patterns support the elevated trader-implied range without significant model spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania