A persistent heat wave across northern France has elevated minimum temperatures in Paris ahead of August 14, with official forecasts indicating overnight lows of 20–23°C under a strong high-pressure system that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and ECMWF shows little overnight relief, pushing trader consensus toward the 21–23°C outcomes as the most probable range for the daily low. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current atmospheric conditions—warm advection and high dew points—make sub-20°C readings unlikely without a rapid frontal passage. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
22°C 27%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C or below 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
15%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
20%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 27%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C or below 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$42 Wol.
15%
21°C
$0 Wol.
25%
22°C
$44 Wol.
27%
23°C
$23 Wol.
20%
24°C
$43 Wol.
8%
25°C
$317 Wol.
3%
26°C
$32 Wol.
6%
27°C
$22 Wol.
1%
28°C
$34 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$34 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$34 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent heat wave across northern France has elevated minimum temperatures in Paris ahead of August 14, with official forecasts indicating overnight lows of 20–23°C under a strong high-pressure system that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and ECMWF shows little overnight relief, pushing trader consensus toward the 21–23°C outcomes as the most probable range for the daily low. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current atmospheric conditions—warm advection and high dew points—make sub-20°C readings unlikely without a rapid frontal passage. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$624Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent heat wave across northern France has elevated minimum temperatures in Paris ahead of August 14, with official forecasts indicating overnight lows of 20–23°C under a strong high-pressure system that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and ECMWF shows little overnight relief, pushing trader consensus toward the 21–23°C outcomes as the most probable range for the daily low. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current atmospheric conditions—warm advection and high dew points—make sub-20°C readings unlikely without a rapid frontal passage. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$624Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent heat wave across northern France has elevated minimum temperatures in Paris ahead of August 14, with official forecasts indicating overnight lows of 20–23°C under a strong high-pressure system that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and ECMWF shows little overnight relief, pushing trader consensus toward the 21–23°C outcomes as the most probable range for the daily low. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current atmospheric conditions—warm advection and high dew points—make sub-20°C readings unlikely without a rapid frontal passage. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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