The National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier conditions and daily maxima of 33–34 °C across the first half of August, reinforced by an emerging El Niño that favors above-normal temperatures over the Maritime Continent, anchors trader expectations near 32–33 °C for August 12. Recent observations show afternoon peaks of 32–33 °C under mostly fair skies, while subseasonal models from the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate warmer-than-usual conditions through mid-month, tempered by occasional showers that can suppress the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 31 °C and limited short-term model spread keep the 34 °C and higher bins at low implied probability ahead of the final observational data on the 12th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on August 12?
32°C 53%
33°C 37%
31°C 8%
34°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
53%
33°C
37%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 37%
31°C 8%
34°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
53%
33°C
37%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier conditions and daily maxima of 33–34 °C across the first half of August, reinforced by an emerging El Niño that favors above-normal temperatures over the Maritime Continent, anchors trader expectations near 32–33 °C for August 12. Recent observations show afternoon peaks of 32–33 °C under mostly fair skies, while subseasonal models from the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate warmer-than-usual conditions through mid-month, tempered by occasional showers that can suppress the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 31 °C and limited short-term model spread keep the 34 °C and higher bins at low implied probability ahead of the final observational data on the 12th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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